Is It Rob Portman?

Talking Points Memo had an interesting post yesterday suggesting that one way to handicap Mitt’s veepstakes is to monitor how often a potential choice’s Wikipedia page is edited as we get down to the wire.  Apparently, Sarah Palin’s page had lots of editing the day before she was announced.

Well — I just checked Rob Portman, and he’s had about 100 edits so far today!

Compare that to 22 for Marco! Rubio!, 7 for Paul Ryan, and 5 for Tim Pawlenty.

I need to go check some sheep entrails.

If I’m right about Portman, and the ticket is “Dull and Duller,” you heard it here first.  If’ I’m wrong, then we know not to try the Wikipedia thing in 2016.

Tim Pawlenty Was Mitt Romney’s Canary in the Coal Mine

Mitt Romney should have seen Tim Pawlenty as a kind of canary in the coal mine.  Pawlenty, a decent enough, smart enough guy with a good record as governor of Minnesota worked Iowa long and hard and flamed out early, right after Michele Bachmann won the straw poll.

It was said that Pawlenty lacked passion, he wasn’t able to get voters excited.  But I think what he really lacked was that he wasn’t angry enough.

The Republican base is angry, and they want someone to share that anger and show it on the campaign trail.  I believe that’s one reason that Mitt hasn’t caught on and why Newt Gingrich, despite all the negatives in his past, both personal and professional, that should be alienating Republicans, has taken off as the last viable not-Romney standing.

Part of the hope when Rick Perry entered the race was that he would burn hotter than Pawlenty, show some anger and outrage.  But Perry has had trouble getting his sentences out at all, let alone adding strong emotion to them.

I’m sure Mitt was relieved when Pawlenty dropped out, since they had a lot in common as kind of milquetoasty governors.  Mitt saw him as direct competition more than he saw someone like Bachmann, the other Minnesota twin.  But Mitt should have seen Pawlenty’s failure as a cautionary tale and taken that warning more seriously.

If losing out to someone like Gingrich isn’t enough to get Mitt angry, I don’t know what it will take.  Tick-tock, Mittens.

Will Romney Pay to Keep Bachmann, Santorum, and Paul Afloat?

Typically when you’re running for president, your aim is to get your opponents to drop out as soon as possible.  But in Mitt “I’m Also Unemployed” Romney’s case, he needs Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum, and Ron Paul to stick around to help him against Rick Perry.  They do this both by their Greek Chorus attacks on Perry and by draining far-right votes away from him in early contests.

We know that Mitt agreed to help Tim Pawlenty retire his campaign debt in exchange for an endorsement.  Given the loosey-goosey state of soft money allowed under Citizens United, Mitt can direct money to help Bachmann, Santorum, and Paul.  He can promise them jobs in his Administration, not to drop out, as you’d normally expect by promising someone State or Defense, but to stay in until he sticks a fork in Perry.

Mitt may have to support not only his campaign, but also selective opponents’.  This is his last shot at the nomination, and, if “it takes a village” to get him there, he won’t hesitate.