Is the Empty Barn Jacket About to Lose to Another Girl?

A new WMUR Granite State Poll shows incumbent Dem Sen. Jeanne Shaheen leading GOP carpetbagger and Cosmo centerfold Scott Brown by eight points among likely voters, 50 to 42.

Is she about to do to him in New Hampshire what Elizabeth Warren did to him in Massachusetts?  Will he move to yet a third state and try again?

 

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As You’d Expect, New Hampshire Tightens

Republican Scott Brown is gaining on incumbent Dem Jeanne Shaheen in their New Hampshire Senate race.  The Empty Barn Jacket leads 46-44.  Last month’s 12-point Shaheen lead seemed a little too good to be true.

But Brown’s still underwater in his favorables/unfavorables at 36-38, while Shaheen’s are positive at 48-36.  And 60% of those polled said their votes weren’t solid.

 

New State, Same Old Phony

The barn jacket and the pick-up truck have lost their magic.  Poor Scott Brown just wants to be in the Senate, people.  But having been kicked out by the people of Massachusetts in favor of Elizabeth Warren, his slither across the border to New Hampshire isn’t panning out.  He’s trailing another woman, incumbent Dem Jeanne Shaheen, by 12 points — 52 to 40.

And his favorables/unfavorables are upside down at 31 and 40.  Hers are right side up at 57-29.

A beat-up Scott may have to toss his carpetbag in that beat-up truck and head back home.

He’s With Stupid

Running for Senate in his new home state of New Hampshire, where Obamacare has achieved more than 200% of its goal for signups, Scott “Empty Barn Jacket” Brown says he will repeal Obamacare, but the people who have signed up can keep it.  Obviously, it is stupid to promise people they will have Obamacare when Obamacare no longer exists.

But now Mitch McConnell is promising the same thing in Kentucky, where almost half a million people have signed up.  McConnell says the state’s exchange has nothing to do with Obamacare.  But of course if Obamacare goes, so goes the federal exchange and all the state exchanges.

Can the Dems Keep the Senate?

Leo, the NYT computer model for Senate races, currently gives Dems a 56% chance of keeping their majority.

Leo really doesn’t like Scott Brown.  He [It?] gives Brown only a 3% chance of beating Jeanne Shaheen in New Hampshire.

As the election season draaaags on, it will be interesting to compare Josh Katz and his Leo with Nate Silver and his FiveThirtyEight.

Moron of the Day

Republican Scott Brown, having lost his Massachusetts Senate seat to Elizabeth Warren and now trying to take Jean Shaheen’s New Hampshire seat, has been running hard against Obamacare, vowing to repeal it.

But the thing is, Obamacare has done really well in New Hampshire, hitting 211% of its enrollment goal, higher than any other state.  So Brown has been running around promising that he’ll “grandfather in” New Hampshire residents to Obamacare when it’s repealed.

Um, how do you grandfather people into a program that you’ve repealed?  You can’t, and that’s why Scott is our Moron of the Day.

Hey, We’re All Part of Red Sox Nation

“Sen. Shaheen is not from here, but apparently it’s a problem with me.”

Republican Scott Brown, former Massachusetts senator now trying to become a New Hampshire senator

Jeanne Shaheen, former New Hampshire governor and incumbent senator, has lived in the state for more than 40 years.  Scott Brown registered to vote in the Granite State three months ago.