Can the Dems Keep the Senate?

Leo, the NYT computer model for Senate races, currently gives Dems a 56% chance of keeping their majority.

Leo really doesn’t like Scott Brown.  He [It?] gives Brown only a 3% chance of beating Jeanne Shaheen in New Hampshire.

As the election season draaaags on, it will be interesting to compare Josh Katz and his Leo with Nate Silver and his FiveThirtyEight.

Moron of the Day

Republican Scott Brown, having lost his Massachusetts Senate seat to Elizabeth Warren and now trying to take Jean Shaheen’s New Hampshire seat, has been running hard against Obamacare, vowing to repeal it.

But the thing is, Obamacare has done really well in New Hampshire, hitting 211% of its enrollment goal, higher than any other state.  So Brown has been running around promising that he’ll “grandfather in” New Hampshire residents to Obamacare when it’s repealed.

Um, how do you grandfather people into a program that you’ve repealed?  You can’t, and that’s why Scott is our Moron of the Day.

The Empty Barn Jacket Is Back

Former Massachusetts Senator Scott Brown, who briefly replaced Teddy Kennedy (because it was too damn cold for Martha Coakley to shake hands outside Fenway Park or something) and then lost his bid for a full term to Elizabeth Warren in 2012, has set up a political action committee in New Hampshire, The People’s Seat PAC.

It looks as if Brown is preparing to run against Dem NH Senator Jean Shaheen in 2014.  Brown has long owned a vacation house in Rye, NH.