Chris Cillizza reports* that both Dem and GOP strategists believe that Mark Sanford is gaining momentum in the closing days of his House race against Elizabeth Colbert Busch. The race is considered a toss up.
To me, it comes down to whether people vote for a human being or a number. If they view Sanford as a guy who will reliably line up with the GOP in Congress, basically as a number and not a person, it makes sense to choose him because he reflects the policy views of the district better than Colbert Busch. It’s a conservative district, and whatever else he is, Sanford is a conservative. So Tuesday’s result will depend on whether Charleston-area voters want to send a message about ethics (he used tax $ to fly to Argentina to see his mistress) and morality, or just want to send another vote to the GOP column in the House.
But you can argue that it does no harm to send Colbert Busch for the rest of the term because of the solid GOP House majority. If you dislike Sanford enough, you can end his political career and send another conservative (maybe even another Sanford — Jenny) to Congress in 2014.
* “Mark Sanford just might win South Carolina seat,” WaPo