The Deficit? Fuhgeddaboudit.

A little Krugman* to get your weekend off to a good start:

“The budget deficit isn’t our biggest problem, by a long shot.  Furthermore, it’s a problem that is already, to a large degree, solved.  The medium-term budget outlook is great, but it’s not terrible either — and the long-term outlook gets much more attention than it should.

“Recently the nonpartisan Center on Budget and Policy Priorities took Congressional Budget Office projections for the next decade and updated them to take account of two major deficit-reduction actions:  the spending cuts agreed to in 2011, amounting to almost $1.5 trillion over the next decade; and the roughly $600 billion in tax increases on the affluent agreed to at the beginning of this year.  What the center finds is a budget outlook, that, as I said, isn’t great but isn’t terrible:  It projects that the ratio of debt to G.D.P., the standard measure of America’s debt position, will be only modestly higher in 2022 than it is now.

“The center calls for another $1.4 trillion in deficit reduction, which would completely stabilize the debt ratio; President Obama has called for roughly the same amount.  Even without such actions, however, the budget outlook for the next 10 years doesn’t look at all alarming.

“Now, projections that run further into the future do suggest trouble, as an aging population and rising health care costs continue to push federal spending higher.  But here’s a question you almost never see seriously addressed:  Why, exactly, should we believe that it’s necessary, or even possible, to decide right now how we will eventually address the budget issues of the 2030s?

“It’s time to focus on other stuff — like the still-depressed state of the economy and the still-terrible problem of long-term unemployment.”

Instead of wringing our hands about the deficit/national debt, we need to roll up our sleeves and focus on growth and good jobs.  That’s the best thing we can do for the 2030s right now.

* “The Dwindling Deficit,” NYT

2 comments on “The Deficit? Fuhgeddaboudit.

  1. momshieb says:

    Oh, now, stop trying to confuse us with facts!

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