Making Your Monday Feel Better

Nate Silver’s latest forecast model* shows that President Obama has an 80.7% chance of winning, with Mitt at 19.3%.  This is a 6.2% change in the President’s favor since a week ago.

Silver’s forecast model gives Obama 319 electoral votes to 219 for Mitt.

Note that this forecast model presumes and takes into account a convention bounce for Obama.  Silver has another model, which predicts what would happen if the election were held today, that gives Obama an 83% chance of winning, with Mitt at 17%.

*FiveThirtyEight blog at the NYT

2 comments on “Making Your Monday Feel Better

  1. Roni Jordan says:

    Me likey.

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