Silver Bullish on Obama

Nate Silver from the FiveThirtyEight blog at the NYT is very bullish on President Obama in this moment between conventions.  He gives him 308 electoral votes right now, compared to 230 for Mitt.  That’s a swing of ten votes to Obama and away from Mitt since Silver’s August 26 analysis.

Silver gives Obama a 74.5% chance of winning, compared to 25.5% for Mitt, a 5% swing since August 26.

In 2008, Silver called every state correctly except for Indiana.

Won’t you enjoy your Labor Day a little more now?

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